Liberty Watch Episode 11: Hurricanes and Wein-Stains

The following is the text version of my YouTube video which can be viewed by clicking here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEp6Au3E7lE

You can subscribe to my YouTube channel by clicking here: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIb4k41f3A1lftMXivcvj5g.

LMV:  Wow!  Did you like my show intro?  I thought it was pretty cool but then I remembered this intro.

Audio clip:  Intro to Rolling Stones song Brown Sugar.

LMV:  And then I remembered this intro.

Audio clip:  Intro to Rolling Stones song Gimme Shelter.

LMV:  So I must confess my intro is not as cool as the Stones’.  Nevertheless, welcome to another edition of Liberty Watch.  I am your host Liberty Man Van.  The hurricane season of 2017 has been a particularly active one.  Coincidentally, the Miami Hurricanes are off to a great start at 7-0.  It seems that every ten years or so we have a bunch of hurricanes in one season and the years in between are relatively inactive.  No matter how many inactive seasons we have someone is sure to attribute the active one to global warming, rather, to climate change.  They used to call it global warming but after several years of cooling recently they have renamed it climate change- that is sure to encompass whatever happens.

Hurricane Harvey, the worse storm of the year hit Texas hard, including staying stationary for a while and dumping megatons of water on the Houston area; massive flooding was the result.  Here is a little of the news coverage from that storm.

Video clips of Hurricane Harvey in Houston.

LMV:  And whenever nature moves to damage an area and citizens, the price gougers are soon to follow.

Video:  Price gouging report.

LMV:  Should these natural disaster entrepreneurs be arrested or fined?  The emotional response is to say “hell yes!”, but a more careful look reveals a more nuanced answer.  Consider the following article from FEE.org entitled “Anti-Price Gouging Laws Make About As Much Sense As Anti-High Temperature Laws.”  The article begins with the typical defense of anti-price gouging laws:

“Many residents in Texas and Louisiana have suffered from the devastating effects of Hurricane Harvey in recent days, and some of those residents are now being unfairly subjected to further suffering from the unconscionable actions of businesses and individuals who are engaged in illegal price gouging for essential goods like gasoline, water, and food.

To prevent residents from being victimized by ruthless and greedy price gougers, Texas law prohibits businesses from charging “exorbitant prices” for gasoline, food, water, clothing, and lodging following natural disasters like Hurricane Harvey.

Despite those price gouging laws, one large Texas retailer was allegedly charging $42 for a case of water and a gas station in the affected area was reported to be charging $99 for a case of water according to the Texas attorney general. Those retailers are now subject to legal prosecution and fines for charging “excessively high” prices in violation of price gouging laws in Texas.”

LMV:  What is the libertarian way to view this question?  In short, the government should butt out and allow the free market to sort out prices.  This approach allows the maximum amount of freedom for people and businesses to sort it out.  In addition, it just happens to be the most humane approach because it allows precious resources to be allocated to those that need them the most.  The FEE.org article continues:

“The artificially low, government-mandated prices will cause distortions and inefficiencies in Texas and Louisiana because the artificial prices won’t accurately and truthfully reflect the economic reality that supplies of critical goods are extremely low at the same time demand for those goods is extremely high.

Price gouging laws create a government-mandated fantasy world with prices that create a complete disconnect between the true measure of a scare good’s value and a fantasy measure of that good’s value.”

“When it comes to maximizing the efficient allocation of resources following a natural disaster like Hurricane Harvey, what we want are accurate, truthful and precise measures of market conditions (supply and demand), and we can only get those measures from market prices, not from artificial, government-mandated price gouging laws.”

LMV:  When I see anti-price gouging laws and sentiment I am reminded of President Nixon’s response to the Arab oil embargo of the early 70’s.  I can remember watching the evening news and seeing the video footage of the long lines at the gas stations.  Nixon’s response was to impose price controls and rationing.  The price controls prevented price gouging and the result was scarcity and prolongation of the crisis.

Whether rising prices are due to an oil embargo or to a natural distaster, if we allow prices to develop naturally rather try to put artificial caps on prices, we are more likely to ensure that people get the scarce resources they need.  Prices convey a vital piece of information.  They tell us where goods are needed the most so that market actors can make accurate decisions and move goods with the maximum of efficiency.   In other words, anti-price gouging laws are counter-productive because they are likely to prolong the scarcity of goods.  Those who are “too greedy” will end up with goods they cannot sell and will be undercut by competitors.  Allowing the free market to determine prices will be more compassionate, more efficient, and allow maximum freedom.

LMV:  That brings us to our next article from the mises.org website entitled “The Broken-Window Fallacy is Alive and Well.”  The broken-window fallacy was passed down to us from nineteenth century French economist Frederic Bastiat.  It goes something like this.  A shopkeeper has a window at his business broken by a careless son and pay a glazier six francs to replace it.  This stimulates the economy because it has put the glazier to work.  Right?  Wrong!  The happy glazier is what is seen.  What is not seen is that the shopkeeper had planned to spend that six francs on a good pair of shoes.  So, not only is the shopkeeper out of six francs but so is the cobbler.  That is a net loss of six francs; that is what is not seen.

Fast forward to 21st century Houston in the wake of Hurricane Harvey.  The mises.org article states:

“As Hurricane Harvey, now tropical storm Harvey, makes its way across the southern US, estimates have already come in as to the cost of the storm. According to AccuWeather, Harvey is expected to cost upwards of $190 billion in damages, one percent of the national GDP. This makes Harvey the costliest storm ever to hit the United States, more than Katrina ($100 billion) and Sandy ($60 billion) combined.

Here Come The Clowns

As in the wake of every disaster, pundits and politically biased economists — including Larry Summers who declared Japan’s 2011 Tsunami would boost economic growth —  will wax elegantly on how Harvey will end up being a boon for “the economy.” CNBC, for example, reports that Hurricane Harvey may ultimately “raise wages.”  It will spawn government spending and insurance payouts to flood victims, we’re told. These victims will spend that money in the economy which will put people back to work, employ the factors of production and so on and so on.

LMV:  This fallacy seems to surface every time we have a disaster but common sense tells us that if you have to spend money to replace something that you already had, you have not created any new wealth.  In fact, you have lost wealth.

You have heard similar logic from historians discussing how World War ll helped end the Great Depression.  After all, didn’t the GDP explode upward during the war?  Yes it did but we must keep in mind that government spending is counted in the GDP numbers.  And does it follow that spending on tanks, battleships, and bombs really adds to wealth?  Surely not.  If a family spends funds on guns and ammunition to protect the home, it means you have less to spend on bicycles or televisions.  In a word, resources used to recover from a natural disaster do not spur economic growth.

LMV:  And now for our final angle regarding this year’s hurricanes.  I have noticed through the years that it seems the same flood prone areas get hit again and again.  And the houses are rebuilt in those same flood prone areas again and again.  Why does this happen?  Why do we never learn from our mistakes?  Why do we continue to engage in this risky behavior?

The short answer is that someone other than the property owners are paying for it.  If the property owners had to pay a market price for flood insurance the cost would be much greater and many of them would be discouraged from rebuilding in the same flood prone areas.

One article that captured the folly appeared in the USA Today and was entitled “Dear Texas, how many times do we have to rebuild the same house?”

From the article:

…Hurricane Harvey offers the clearest lesson why Congress should not perpetuate the federal National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), which expires at the end of September. The ravages in Houston and elsewhere would be far less if the federal government had not offered massively subsidized flood insurance in high-risk, environmentally perilous locales. But this is the same folly that the feds have perpetuated for almost 50 years.

…NFIP embraced a “flood-rebuild-repeat” model that has spawned an almost $25 billion debt. The National Wildlife Federation estimated in 1998 that 2% of properties covered by federal flood insurance had multiple damage claims accounting for 40% of flood insurance outlays, and that more than 5,000 homes had repeat claims exceeding their property value. A recent Pew Charitable Trust study revealed that 1% of the 5 million properties insured have produced almost a third of the damage claims and half the debt.

…NFIP paid to rebuild one Houston home 16 times in 18 years, spending almost a million dollars to perpetually restore a house worth less than $120,000…The Washington Post recently reported that a house “outside Baton Rouge, valued at $55,921, has flooded 40 times over the years, amassing $428,379 in claims. A $90,000 property near the Mississippi River north of St. Louis has flooded 34 times, racking up claims of more than $608,000.

…FEMA has loitered on updating in part because many members of Congress vehemently oppose accurate estimates of the risks and updated, higher insurance rates for their constituents.

…The financial soundness of federal flood insurance will always depend on politicians’ self-restraint in buying votes. In other words, the program is actuarially doomed. There is no constitutional right to federal bailouts for flooded homes. The sooner the feds exit the flood insurance business, the safer American coasts and paychecks will be.

LMV:  In other words, like all government programs, it is to benefit the politicians and their well connected friends that tax money is spent.  There are precious few politicians in D.C. that are taking up for the taxpayers.  The expense is accrued by the many and the benefits to the few.  The is same old tired story we see again and again with government.  Let me say it as I have said it before.  The government always looks out for its best interests first.  It is not there to protect you or to be your congenial benefactor.  Get those ideas out of your head and you won’t be surprised when these types of bad programs continue to exist decade after decade.

LMV:  Our next story is a about big shot Hollywood film producer Harvey Weinstein.  As you may have heard, he has been accused being a sexual predator over the many years of his Hollywood career.  Here is a snippet from a USA today article:

…Since the New York Times and New Yorker published bombshell reports detailing decades of alleged sexual harassment and assault by producer Harvey Weinstein early this month, dozens of women have come forward with similar claims against the movie mogul.

60 women have accused Weinstein of inappropriate to potentially criminal behavior ranging from requests for massages to intimidating sexual advances to rape.

LMV:  This is not surprising for those of us who are enlightened by our love of rock and roll.  As a matter of fact, the Eagles wrote a song about this activity years ago.

Audio clip:  From the Eagles song King of Hollywood.

LMV:  The fact is, this type of behavior has been well known in Hollywood for decades.  Why is everyone so shocked.  This is old news.

LMV:  And finally, it is time in the show for a little libertarian humor.  Did you ever wonder what the libertarian version of Star Wars would look like?

Video clip:  Libertarian Star Wars.

LMV:  And that’s our show for today.  Thanks for joining us, tell a friend, and join us next time on Liberty Watch where we don’t believe you need some guy with a bullhorn to tell you what to do.

Liberty Watch Episode 10: NFL Gone Mad?

The following is the text version of my YouTube video which can be viewed by clicking here:  https://youtu.be/s1wU8PIM_vQ

You can subscribe to my YouTube channel by clicking here: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIb4k41f3A1lftMXivcvj5g.

LMV:  Welcome.  In today’s episode we will look at the controversy over  NFL player protests and then look at some stories related to this year’s active hurricane season.

We’ll take the NFL story first.  Last season in 2016 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick began kneeling during the national anthem to protest police brutality against blacks.  In case you didn’t know already, he is a black player.  A few players joined him in the protest last year and many more have joined in the protests this year.  A few of the owners have even joined with the players in solidarity as have some of the head coaches.

As I mentioned, this all started about a year ago with then 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick; he is no longer with that team.

Video 1:  Coverage of initial protests.

Here are some of the comments Kaepernick made following the initial protests:

There’s a lot of things that need to change. One specifically? Police brutality. There’s people being murdered unjustly and not being held accountable. People are being given paid leave for killing people. That’s not right. That’s not right by anyone’s standards.

Niners coach Chip Kelly told reporters Saturday that Kaepernick’s decision not to stand during the national anthem is “his right as a citizen” and said “it’s not my right to tell him not to do something.”

LMV:  Even President Trump has inserted himself into this controversy.  Here is a clip from one of his speeches.

Video clip.

LMV:  The Pittsburgh Steelers team decided to protest by remaining in the locker room before the anthem.  One of their players, former Army Ranger Alejandro Villanueva, refused to join the protest.  He came out of the locker room and placed his hand over his heart during the anthem.

In a post-game press conference his coach, Mike Tomlin, who has never been in the military, was disappointed that Villanueva came out for the anthem.  Here is text from a foxnews article:

Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin appeared to take a swipe at the Bronze Star recipient’s decision in a post-game press conference. Tomlin told the media that, prior to kickoff Sunday, the Steelers held a team meeting and decided, though not unanimously, to not come out of the locker room for the national anthem.

 “Like I said, I was looking for 100 percent participation, we were gonna be respectful of our football team.”
Let’s address several questions here:
  • Are blacks being disproportionately targeted by police?
  • Is Chip Kelly correct?  Does the NFL have any right to tell the players “what to do?”
  • Should the President weigh in on this issue?
  • Who are the winners and losers here?

> Are blacks being disproportionately targeted by police?  According to data just released here at the end of Sept. of 2017 we have these facts:

+ So far in 2017 there have been 10 unarmed blacks killed by police in the U.S., about one a month.  If you are black, you are more likely to have been killed by bees or hornets than by police officers.  That means you are more than 4.5 times more likely to be killed by lightning than to be shot by a cop.  I did the math.  You are 5x more likely to be struck and killed by a train.

+ In 2017 there were 7881 blacks murdered in the U.S. in 2016.  White people committed 243 of those murders.  That means 97% of these murders had nothing to do with white people at all.

+ In 2016 police were 18.5x more likely to be killed by a black person than was a black person to be shot by a cop.  Does the media focus on these numbers?  No, they will barely see the light of day because it does not fit their false narrative of oppression.  As a matter of fact, if a black person does speak out about these alarming statistics they are more likely to be attacked by the media.

Charles Barkley recently called blacks out for killing each other and was called a “black white supremacist” by the left-wing website the Root.  Here is a photo.

Photo of Barkley and a copy of the newspaper with the headline “Charles Barkley is a great example of a black white supremacist.”

If you are Black Lives Matter and are concerned about blacks being shot, you should be focused on preventing other black people from shooting blacks.

> Is Chip Kelly correct?  Does he or the NFL have any right to tell the players “what to do?”  The NFL owners are the employers of the players and have every right to tell them what they can and cannot do ON THE JOB.  This comes down to property rights; the owners own the team and can set whatever policies they like within the limits of the law.  Does UPS want their drivers to deliver a political message when they deliver a package?  Do you want the Wal-Mart greeter to urge you to support state funded abortion?

> Should the President have weighed in on this issue?  Yes and no.  This is a matter between an employer and employee and he has no official business stepping in between the dispute.  That’s the no part of the answer.

The yes part of the answer is that this has played really well with his supporters and has been a political win for him.

Who are the winners and losers here?  The main stakeholders here are the NFL owners and players, the media outlets carrying the games, the NFL fans, and the President.  This has been a loss for all of these stakeholders except President Trump.  The fan reaction towards the protests have been negative.  Some fans have bought fewer game tickets, burned the jerseys of players, cancelled their NFL season ticket for television, etc.

From Zero Hedge article entitled “Blowback?  NFL ticket sales crash 17.9% as owners lose control of players”:

Probably just a coincidence… or just transitory, but The online ticket reseller TickPick told The Washington Examiner that sales have dropped 17.9 percent, far more than the usual Week Three fall

  • 17.9 percent decrease in NFL orders this week compared to the previous week.
  • Last year the drop was 10.8 percent in orders on Monday & Tuesday following Week Three games.

“We have seen a massive decrease in NFL ticket purchases this past week in comparison to years past. Week 3 seems to usually have less ticket orders than week 2, but this year ticket purchases are down more than 7 percent from this time last year,” said TickPick’s Jack Slingland.

“While we can’t specify if this decrease is due to the president’s comments, player and owner protests, play on the field, or simply the continued division of consumer’s media attention, the conversation around the NFL this week has focused on the president’s comments as well as the players’ and owners’ reaction. As viewers continue to abandon their NFL Sunday habits, both the number of ticket sales and the purchase price of tickets will drop, he told us.

And from another article entitled “Angry NFL Fans Lash Out, Burn Jerseys Over Protests: “You Can Take Your NFL And Shove It”:

…Some angry NFL fans have chosen a different way to express their dissatisfaction with the league and some of its players. As Yahoo reportsSteelers’ offensive-lineman Alejandro Villanueva’s jersey becomes an overnight best-seller after he stands for anthem.

…the NFL doesn’t seem to understand that while almost every American can agree that football is a great sport, roughly 50% of them will vehemently disagree with whatever political stance any given player or league exec decides to publicly announce.  And, since the NFL’s future depends on selling overpriced ad spots to massive corporations looking for a consistent number of eyeballs, alienating any group of viewers, for whatever reason, is just bad for business.

But don’t take our word for it…here’s just a couple of examples for what the fans had to say over the weekend.

“It’s a disgrace. It’s disgusting. They’re getting paid to do a job…to play ball and do whatever the fans want them to do.”

“They’re paying these guys to do a job.  They’re not supposed to be involved in politics.”

 “You can take your Kansas City Chiefs and you can take your NFL and you can shove it.”

“Now, think about that and think about the millions a year that you people are making to play a game while we got soldiers overseas that get paid minimum wage to put their lives on the line for that flag.”

“Protest does not belong in our NFL sports.  It’s a game.”

LMV:  And, this angry fan burned an NFL jersey to the tune of the star spangled banner.

Video clip:  Fan burning jersey.

LMV:  So the NFL is shooting itself in the foot with this stuff and it is hurting the league.  They should shut up and get back to playing football.

LMV:  And now for a little libertarian humor.  And the caption reads “Licensing.  When the government takes away your right to do something and then sells it back to you.”

Now that we have focused on the NFL protests let’s move the lens back and take a wider angle view.  Where does this fit into the larger picture?  It is part of a larger scheme by the democratic party to garner votes by the division of America.  They want to gain or keep your vote by pretending to protect you from some form of perceived oppression.  If you are gay they will protect you from the homophobes.  If you are black they will protect you from the white oppressors.  If you are Hispanic and illegally in this country they want to find some way to make you a citizen so that you can vote for them.  If you are a woman they will protect you from the misogynists.

So who is it that is fanning the flames of racial division in this country?  It is groups like Black Live Matter.  Consider the following 4/3/17 article entitled “Black Lives Matter Philly Bans White People from its Meetings”:

Black Lives Matter Philly banned white people from an upcoming event, claiming it is a “black only space.”

The April 15 meeting plans to discuss projects and initiatives for the upcoming year and act as a  place for people to “meet, strategize and organize.” While children are invited to attend, white people are explicitly banned from the meeting, according to the Facebook event page.

When people began questioning the ban on whites over Twitter, Black Lives Matter Philly stayed by their ban, explaining that their meetings are “black centered.”

Anyone who identifies as “African disapora” is allowed to attend, the group explained over Twitter…“African Disapora” usually refers to people who were taken out of Africa during the Transatlantic Slave Trades.

LMV:  Does this sound like actions from a group that is interested in unity or division?  You be the judge.  Surely, the white supremacists are also interested in promoting racial division but their paltry membership gets little traction. But, unlike the white supremacists, groups like BLM get support from the leftist triad of the mainstream media, academia, and Hollywood.

Another article which demonstrates that academia is on board with the division comes from a 6/2/17 article entitled “Colleges Celebrate Diversity with Separate Commencements”.  This article details how many universities such as Harvard, Emory and Henry College in VA., and Columbia are now having separate commencement ceremonies for African Americans.

“…We have endured the constant questioning of our legitimacy and our capacity, and yet here we are,” Duwain Pinder, a master’s degree candidate in business and public policy, told the cheering crowd of several hundred people in a keynote speech.

From events once cobbled together on shoestring budgets and hidden in back rooms, alternative commencements like the one held at Harvard have become more mainstream, more openly embraced by universities and more common than ever before.

“You began college just weeks after George Zimmerman was acquitted in the callous killing of Trayvon Martin,” Professor Terry, an assistant professor of African and African-American studies and social studies, said in his address.

“You were teenagers, like Michael Brown when he was subjected to the Sophoclean indignity of being shot dead and left in the blazing sun. Your world was shaped in indelible ways by these deaths and others like them, and many of you courageously took to join one of the largest protest movements in decades to try to wrest some semblance of justice from these tragedies.”

LMV:  And so it goes, identity politics is alive and well on campus.  And that’s our show for today.  Thanks for joining us.  I look forward to seeing you next time on Liberty Watch where we don’t believe you need some guy with a bull horn to tell you what to do.